Forecasts Cases Directly

Usage

forecast_cases_directly(
  cases = NULL,
  model,
  horizon = 7,
  samples = 1000,
  bound_rt = TRUE,
  timeout = 100
)

Arguments

cases: A dataframe containing date and cases variables
model: A model object in the format of bsts_model or fable_model. See the corresponding help files for details.
horizon: Numeric, the time horizon over which to predict.
samples: Numeric, number of samples to take.
bound_rt: Logical, defaults to TRUE. Should Rt values be bounded to be greater than or equal to 0.
timeout: Numeric, timeout of model fitting in seconds. Defaults to 30 seconds.

Value

Forecast cases over a future forecast horizon

Examples

if (FALSE) {
forecast_cases_directly(EpiSoon::example_obs_cases,
  model = function(...) {
    EpiSoon::bsts_model(model = function(ss, y) {
      bsts::AddAutoAr(ss, y = y, lags = 10)
    }, ...)
  },
  horizon = 7, samples = 10
)
}