Estimates were derived from the modelled daily and weekly data published weekly as part of the Coronavirus (COVID-19) Infection Survey by the Office of National Statistics. Prevalence and incidence estimates are shown for the last year, and reproduction number for the past three months.

Please consider the limitations mentioned in the manuscript before interpreting the plots.

Code to reproduce the results and links to data tables with estimates are available at https://github.com/epiforecasts/inc2prev.

National estimates

PCR+ prevalence

Proportion testing PCR positive.

Infection incidence

Daily proportion newly infected.