How do we evaluate modelling work, and what does that imply about modelling responsibly?

TipGet involved

TipWhat?

We brought together around 30 participants to explore how evaluation links to professional norms, values, and responsibilities. We shared expertise across epidemiological and public health contexts, and put discussion into action by co-designing modeller training materials, and setting individual next steps to improve practice.

We aimed to:

  • compare perspectives on evaluation in epidemiological and public health contexts
  • collaboratively map out what this means for professional norms, values, and responsibilities
  • experiment with what this looks like in practice by co-designing training material for modellers
Time Content Lead
09:45 Arrival
10:00 Welcome activity Participants
10:15 Introduction & aims Kath Sherratt, Sebastian Funk, Erica Thompson
Evaluation & scientific responsibility
10:30 Modelling & scientific responsibility Sebastian Funk
10:40 Evaluation across epidemiological contexts Panel: Matt Keeling (Uni. Warwick), Kaitlyn Johnson (LSHTM), Jonathon Mellor (UKHSA)
11:10 Implications for scientific responsibility Participants: Nested group discussion
11:30 Coffee break
11:45 Training scientifically responsible modellers Participants: Small group co-design
12:30 Lunch
Evaluation & social responsibility
13:30 Modelling & social responsibility Erica Thompson
13:40 Evaluation across public health contexts Panel: Graham Medley (LSHTM), Juan Vesga (UKHSA), Katy Gaythorpe (Imperial/Vaccine Impact Modelling Consortium)
14:10 Implications for social responsibility Participants: Nested group discussion
14:30 Fresh air break
15:00 Review so far Kath Sherratt
15:05 Training socially responsible modellers Participants: Small group co-design
15:50 Gallery of co-designed training materials
Implementation
16:00 Crowd sourcing: big priorities and smallest next steps Participants: Rapid rating exercise
16:20 Summary and actions Kath Sherratt, Sebastian Funk, Erica Thompson
16:30 Close

Workshop design motivated by principles of structured groupwork.

TipWhat next?

Quick wins

We crowd-sourced ideas for next best action for an individual to improve evaluation and responsibility in their work. These are the highest-ranked actions to take now1:

Smallest next steps
Make my PhD code publicly available, even though it’s horrid
Before doing any modelling, think about and write down evaluation criteria for afterwards
Embed PPIE/community in modelling
Write an analysis plan beforehand with collaborators and stakeholders

Long term

This is just one effort in a much wider community working to improve evaluation and understand resonsibility in infectious disease modelling. Let us know you’re interested and we’ll keep in touch with workshop outcomes.


Organised by Kath Sherratt (LSHTM), Seb Funk (LSHTM), and Erica Thompson (UCL), and supported by LSHTM CMMID.

Footnotes

  1. Table shows highest ranked actions among participants’ next steps. Each participant wrote one small action they would personally take. All actions were anonymously swapped among participants and scored from one to five (best). We repeated the swap-and-score process until each action had at least three independent scores. Table shows actions with an average of 5/5.↩︎