Ongoing analysis and research projects from the group. For completed work, see our publications . For reusable tools, see our software .
We make the case for composable probabilistic infectious disease models, outline proposed requirements, and present a proof of concept built on Julia’s type system and Turing.jl
TeX · Updated Jan 2026
Thematic analysis of model performance in the European COVID-19 Forecast Hub
R · Updated Jan 2026
Evaluation of forecasts with and without incorporating wastewater
R · Updated Jan 2026
Systematic review of multi-model ensemble evaluations in infectious disease
TeX · Updated Sep 2025
Evaluating LLM ability to compose epidemic models with and without validated components
R · Updated Jan 2026
Assessing the impact of misspecifying epidemiological distributions on predictive performance.
R · Updated Jan 2026
A code repository to characterise and evaluate data and nowcasts on SARS-CoV-2 variant dynamics in the U.S. from the U.S. variant nowcast hub
R · Updated Jan 2026
Model comparison study on social contact data.
Julia · Updated Jan 2026
Bayesian forecasting using attenuated renewal-based methods for overdispersed contact networks
R · Updated Jan 2026