Estimates presented here are no longer updated as of 31 March 2022. For more information on the rationale behind this move and some reflections on 2 years of global nowcasting and forecasting, please read our related blog post.
Using data available up to the: 2022-04-27
Note that it takes time for infection to cause symptoms, to get tested for SARS-CoV-2 infection, for a positive test to return and ultimately to enter the case data presented here. In other words, today’s case data are only informative of new infections about two weeks ago. This is reflected in the plots below, which are by date of infection.
Estimates are available to download here.
See our see Methods or our paper for an explanation of how these estimates are derived.
|New confirmed cases by infection date||4065 (2011 – 8236)|
|Expected change in daily cases||Likely decreasing|
|Effective reproduction no.||0.79 (0.57 – 1.1)|
|Rate of growth||-0.058 (-0.13 – 0.022)|
|Doubling/halving time (days)||-12 (31 – -5.4)|