A data set with binary predictions for COVID-19 cases and deaths constructed from data submitted to the European Forecast Hub.
Format
An object of class forecast_binary (see as_forecast_binary())
with the following columns:
- location
the country for which a prediction was made
- location_name
name of the country for which a prediction was made
- target_end_date
the date for which a prediction was made
- target_type
the target to be predicted (cases or deaths)
- observed
A factor with observed values
- forecast_date
the date on which a prediction was made
- model
name of the model that generated the forecasts
- horizon
forecast horizon in weeks
- predicted
predicted value
Details
Predictions in the data set were constructed based on the continuous example data by looking at the number of samples below the mean prediction. The outcome was constructed as whether or not the actually observed value was below or above that mean prediction. This should not be understood as sound statistical practice, but rather as a practical way to create an example data set.
The data was created using the script create-example-data.R in the inst/ folder (or the top level folder in a compiled package).